Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.155602 0.166788 0.178513 0.191744 0.206289 0.221825 0.239716
2025-08-03 0.133144 0.149681 0.168139 0.190397 0.216676 0.246925 0.284681
2025-08-10 0.117269 0.136611 0.159251 0.187998 0.223937 0.267945 0.326792
2025-08-17 0.104305 0.124840 0.149775 0.182743 0.225899 0.281505 0.360341
2025-08-24 0.094953 0.116205 0.142804 0.179197 0.228758 0.295542 0.395351
2025-08-31 0.087571 0.109208 0.136998 0.176162 0.231381 0.308837 0.430325
2025-09-07 0.082996 0.105348 0.134766 0.177414 0.239614 0.330393 0.479909
2025-09-14 0.077004 0.099090 0.128716 0.172637 0.238445 0.337633 0.507748
2025-09-21 0.071136 0.092580 0.121803 0.165944 0.233610 0.338457 0.524741
2025-09-28 0.066871 0.088003 0.117255 0.162271 0.232886 0.345427 0.552833
2025-10-05 0.065246 0.087008 0.117698 0.165999 0.243923 0.372505 0.620633
2025-10-12 0.063393 0.085549 0.117326 0.168373 0.252887 0.396967 0.687508
2025-10-19 0.061051 0.083313 0.115753 0.168893 0.259090 0.417824 0.752232
2025-10-26 0.058468 0.080599 0.113317 0.167879 0.262652 0.434490 0.811983
2025-11-02 0.055857 0.077704 0.110424 0.165885 0.264284 0.447718 0.866983
2025-11-09 0.052890 0.074118 0.106247 0.161434 0.261064 0.451121 0.900294
2025-11-16 0.050475 0.071260 0.103059 0.158423 0.260179 0.459001 0.945781
2025-11-23 0.048334 0.068724 0.100243 0.155840 0.259824 0.467847 0.995448
2025-11-30 0.047111 0.067559 0.099559 0.156907 0.266472 0.492129 1.090376
2025-12-07 0.044940 0.064798 0.096122 0.152837 0.262703 0.493347 1.123184
2025-12-14 0.042582 0.061651 0.091911 0.147125 0.255219 0.485499 1.128957
2025-12-21 0.040855 0.059455 0.089193 0.143987 0.252697 0.488653 1.167768
2025-12-28 0.040402 0.059298 0.089888 0.147173 0.263404 0.523820 1.312686